The best times to visit Chapel Hill for ideal weather are

April 2nd to June 3rd

based on average temperature and humidity from NOAA (the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration). Read below for more weather and travel details.

 

 


Other Chapel Hill Travel Info

Weather in Chapel Hill

Temperature

Average temperatures in Chapel Hill vary drastically. Considering humidity, temperatures feel nice some of the year, but often too hot in the summer and cold in the winter with a chance of rain or snow throughout most of the year. The area is less temperate than some — in the 21st percentile for pleasant weather — compared to tourist destinations worldwide. Weeks with ideal weather are listed above. If you’re looking for the very warmest time to visit Chapel Hill, the hottest months are July, August, and then June. See average monthly temperatures below. The warmest time of year is generally late July where highs are regularly around 91.2°F (32.9°C) with temperatures rarely dropping below 69.4°F (20.8°C) at night.

Chapel Hill Temperatures (Fahrenheit)

Key
High
Average
Low

Chapel Hill Temperatures (Celsius)

Key
High
Average
Low

“Feels-Like” Temperatures

The way we experience weather isn’t all about temperature. Higher temperatures affect us much more at higher humidity, and colder temperatures feel piercing with high winds. Our perceived temperatures factor in humidity and wind chill to better represent how hot or cold the day feels to a person.

Chapel Hill Perceived Temperature (F)

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High
Average
Low

Chapel Hill Perceived Temperature (C)

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High
Average
Low

 

Average Chapel Hill Temperatures by Month

Daily highs (averaged for the month) usually give the best indication of the weather. A significantly lower mean and low generally just means it gets colder at night.

Show Fahrenheit

Month Avg. High (°F) Avg. Mean (°F) Avg. Low (°F)
Jan 51.5 40.2 31
Feb 54.2 42.1 32.1
Mar 64 51.2 40.4
Apr 73.5 60.6 48.9
May 80.5 68.3 57.7
Jun 88.6 76.5 66.2
Jul 90.3 78.4 68.9
Aug 89.3 77.7 68.5
Sep 83.4 71.8 62.6
Oct 73.3 60.6 50.4
Nov 62.9 49.9 39.6
Dec 56.4 45.5 36.7

Show Celsius

Month Avg. High (°C) Avg. Mean (°C) Avg. Low (°C)
Jan 10.8 4.6 -0.6
Feb 12.3 5.6 0.1
Mar 17.8 10.7 4.7
Apr 23.1 15.9 9.4
May 26.9 20.2 14.3
Jun 31.4 24.7 19
Jul 32.4 25.8 20.5
Aug 31.8 25.4 20.3
Sep 28.6 22.1 17
Oct 22.9 15.9 10.2
Nov 17.2 9.9 4.2
Dec 13.6 7.5 2.6

 


 

Precipitation (Rain or Snow)

If dry weather is what you’re after, the months with the lowest chance of significant precipitation in Chapel Hill are November, January, and then October. Note that we define “significant precipitation” as .1 inches or more in this section. The lowest chance of rain or snow occurs around early November. For example, on the week of November 5th there is 1 day of precipitation on average. By contrast, it’s most likely to rain or snow in late September with an average of 2 days of significant precipitation the week of September 24th.

When can you find snow in Chapel Hill? Weather stations report no annual snow. Please note that a value of 0 for snow in the graph below may either mean there was no snow, or that snow is unreported.

Chance of Precipitation

The graph below shows the % chance of rainy and snowy days in Chapel Hill.

Key
Days with precipitation

Snow on the Ground

The graph below shows the average snow on the ground in Chapel Hill (in).

Key
Snow depth

Average Rain and Snow by Month

Show Inches

Month Daily Chance of Rain Average Snow Depth (in) Total Precipitation (in)
Jan 17% 0 2.4
Feb 20% 0 2.3
Mar 25% 0 4.1
Apr 21% 0 3.4
May 22% 0 4.1
Jun 21% 0 4.5
Jul 22% 0 3.9
Aug 22% 0 3.1
Sep 23% 0 4.4
Oct 18% 0 3.2
Nov 16% 0 2.8
Dec 27% 0 4.6

Show Centimeters

Month Daily Chance of Rain Average Snow Depth (cm) Total Precipitation (cm)
Jan 17 0 6.1
Feb 20 0 5.8
Mar 25 0 10.4
Apr 21 0 8.6
May 22 0 10.4
Jun 21 0 11.4
Jul 22 0 9.9
Aug 22 0 7.9
Sep 23 0 11.2
Oct 18 0 8.1
Nov 16 0 7.1
Dec 27 0 11.7

 

Humidity and Wind

Chapel Hill has some slightly muggy months, with moderately humid months on the other side of the year. The least humid month is February (45.2% relative humidity), and the most humid month is September (62.3%).

Wind in Chapel Hill is usually extremely calm. The windiest month is March, followed by February and April. March’s average wind speed of around 3.9 knots (4.5 MPH or 7.3 KPH) is considered “light air.” Maximum sustained winds (the highest speed for the day lasting more than a few moments) are at their highest in late February and early March where average top sustained speeds reach 10.3 knots, which is considered a gentle breeze.

Relative Humidity (%)

The graph below shows the average % humidity by month in Chapel Hill.

Key
Avg. Relative Humidity

Wind

The graph below shows wind speed (max and average) in knots.

Key
Max Sustained Wind
Average Daily Wind

Average Wind Speeds

Show Wind Speeds

All wind speeds are in knots. 1 knot = 1.15 MPH or 1.85 KPH.

Month Avg. Wind Avg. Wind Feel Sustained High Wind High Wind Feel
Jan 3.3 Barely noticeable 8.7 Gentle breeze
Feb 3.8 Barely noticeable 9.5 Gentle breeze
Mar 3.9 Barely noticeable 9.6 Gentle breeze
Apr 3.8 Barely noticeable 9.3 Gentle breeze
May 3.2 Barely noticeable 8.6 Gentle breeze
Jun 2.8 Barely noticeable 8.2 Gentle breeze
Jul 2.5 Barely noticeable 7.9 Gentle breeze
Aug 2.5 Barely noticeable 7.6 Gentle breeze
Sep 2.9 Barely noticeable 7.9 Gentle breeze
Oct 3.1 Barely noticeable 7.8 Gentle breeze
Nov 3.2 Barely noticeable 8.2 Gentle breeze
Dec 3 Barely noticeable 8.2 Gentle breeze

Show Relative Humidity by Month

Month Avg. Relative Humidity
Jan 49.8%
Feb 45.2%
Mar 47%
Apr 49%
May 59.2%
Jun 59.2%
Jul 61.5%
Aug 62.1%
Sep 62.3%
Oct 61.4%
Nov 54.6%
Dec 58.8%

 

Is it Safe to Travel to Chapel Hill?

Our best data indicates this area is generally safe. As of Oct 07, 2019 there are no travel advisories or warnings for the United States; exercise normal security precautions. Check this page for any recent changes or regions to avoid: Travel Advice and Advisories. This advisory was last updated on Sep 23, 2019.


 

The Busiest and Least Crowded Months

The busiest month for tourism in Chapel Hill, NC, US is July, followed by April and January. Prices for hotels and flights will be most expensive during these months, though you can save if you purchase well in advance. Tourists are unlikely to visit Chapel Hill in December. Those willing to visit at these times will likely find it the least expensive month.

Estimated Tourism by Month

 

Most Popular Months to Visit

Key
Tourists Seeking Accommodations

Tourism graph is based on Google searches for services used by tourists relative to the rest of the year. Tourism data for this area is slightly extrapolated based on nearby areas. Displayed data is calculated relative to the peak, so a score of 63.4 in December means 63.4% of the tourists vs. July.

 

 

Overall Chapel Hill Travel Experience by Season

Spring (March through May)

Humidity and temperatures combine to make this season feel moderate. Highs range from 86°F (30°C) and 56.4°F (13.6°C) with warmer temperatures in the later months. Rain is somewhat common with 6 to 8 days of significant precipitation per month. Spring is the busiest for tourism, which makes it a good time for those looking for things to do.

Summer (June through August)

The middle-year months have very comfortable weather with high temperatures that are quite warm. These months see moderate precipitation with 6 to 7 days of precipitation per month. June – August is the second busiest season for tourism in Chapel Hill, so lodging and other accommodations may cost slightly more.

Fall (September through November)

Fall daily highs range from 88°F (31.1°C) and 59.7°F (15.4°C), which will feel comfortable given the humidity and wind. It rains or snows a significant amount: 5 to 7 days per month. Tourism is the slowest during these months due to the weather, so hotels may be affordably priced.

Winter (December through February)

Weather is too cold this time of year in Chapel Hill to be enjoyable for warm weather travelers. The average high during this season is between 57.4°F (14.1°C) and 49.7°F (9.8°C). On average, it rains or snows a fair amount: 5 to 8 times per month. These times of year are fairly slow with tourists.

 

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