The best times to visit Merced for ideal weather are

March 12th to July 1st

or

September 3rd to November 11th

based on average temperature and humidity from NOAA (the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration). Read below for more weather and travel details.

 

 


Other Merced Travel Info

Weather in Merced

Temperature

Average temperatures in Merced vary greatly. Considering humidity, temperatures feel very nice much of the year, but hot in the summer and cold in the winter with a very low chance of rain or snow throughout the year. The area is somewhat temperate — in the 47th percentile for pleasant weather — compared to tourist destinations worldwide. Weeks with ideal weather are listed above. If you’re looking for the very warmest time to visit Merced, the hottest months are July, August, and then June. See average monthly temperatures below. The warmest time of year is generally early July where highs are regularly around 98.9°F (37.2°C) with temperatures rarely dropping below 63.3°F (17.4°C) at night.

Merced Temperatures (Fahrenheit)

Key
High
Average
Low

Merced Temperatures (Celsius)

Key
High
Average
Low

“Feels-Like” Temperatures

The way we experience weather isn’t all about temperature. Higher temperatures affect us much more at higher humidity, and colder temperatures feel piercing with high winds. Our perceived temperatures factor in humidity and wind chill to better represent how hot or cold the day feels to a person.

Merced Perceived Temperature (F)

Key
High
Average
Low

Merced Perceived Temperature (C)

Key
High
Average
Low

 

Average Merced Temperatures by Month

Daily highs (averaged for the month) usually give the best indication of the weather. A significantly lower mean and low generally just means it gets colder at night.

Show Fahrenheit

MonthAvg. High (°F)Avg. Mean (°F)Avg. Low (°F)
Jan57.345.335.7
Feb62.85039
Mar70.555.843.1
Apr76.360.446
May84.767.852.1
Jun92.875.158
Jul97.379.562.7
Aug96.678.261
Sep92.874.357.5
Oct80.964.650.8
Nov67.15341.3
Dec56.845.736.4

Show Celsius

MonthAvg. High (°C)Avg. Mean (°C)Avg. Low (°C)
Jan14.17.42.1
Feb17.1103.9
Mar21.413.26.2
Apr24.615.87.8
May29.319.911.2
Jun33.823.914.4
Jul36.326.417.1
Aug35.925.716.1
Sep33.823.514.2
Oct27.218.110.4
Nov19.511.75.2
Dec13.87.62.4

 


 

Precipitation (Rain or Snow)

If dry weather is what you’re after, the months with the lowest chance of significant precipitation in Merced are July, August, and then September. Note that we define “significant precipitation” as .1 inches or more in this section. The lowest chance of rain or snow occurs around late May to early June. For example, on the week of May 28th there are no days of precipitation on average. By contrast, it’s most likely to rain or snow in mid December with an average of 2 days of significant precipitation the week of December 17th.

When can you find snow in Merced? Weather stations report no annual snow. Please note that a value of 0 for snow in the graph below may either mean there was no snow, or that snow is unreported.

Chance of Precipitation

The graph below shows the % chance of rainy and snowy days in Merced.

Key
Days with precipitation

Snow on the Ground

The graph below shows the average snow on the ground in Merced (in).

Key
Snow depth

Average Rain and Snow by Month

Show Inches

MonthDaily Chance of RainAverage Snow Depth (in)Total Precipitation (in)
Jan10%01.5
Feb18%01.6
Mar10%01.2
Apr7%01
May3%00.3
Jun2%00.2
Jul0%00
Aug0%00
Sep1%00
Oct5%00.6
Nov10%01
Dec17%02

Show Centimeters

MonthDaily Chance of RainAverage Snow Depth (cm)Total Precipitation (cm)
Jan1003.8
Feb1804.1
Mar1003
Apr702.5
May300.8
Jun200.5
Jul000
Aug000
Sep100
Oct501.5
Nov1002.5
Dec1705.1

 

Humidity and Wind

Merced has some very humid months, and slightly dry months in the opposite season. The least humid month is June (30% relative humidity), and the most humid month is December (70.6%).

Wind in Merced is usually calm. The windiest month is May, followed by June and July. May’s average wind speed of around 6.9 knots (7.9 MPH or 12.7 KPH) is considered “a light breeze.” Maximum sustained winds (the highest speed for the day lasting more than a few moments) are at their highest in early to mid April where average top sustained speeds reach 14.2 knots, which is considered a moderate breeze.

Relative Humidity (%)

The graph below shows the average % humidity by month in Merced.

Key
Avg. Relative Humidity

Wind

The graph below shows wind speed (max and average) in knots.

Key
Max Sustained Wind
Average Daily Wind

Average Wind Speeds

Show Wind Speeds

All wind speeds are in knots. 1 knot = 1.15 MPH or 1.85 KPH.

MonthAvg. WindAvg. Wind FeelSustained High WindHigh Wind Feel
Jan3.5Barely noticeable8.9Gentle breeze
Feb4.6Light breeze10.7Gentle breeze
Mar5.2Light breeze11.8Gentle breeze
Apr6.2Light breeze13Significant breeze
May6.9Light breeze13.3Gentle breeze
Jun6.8Light breeze13Significant breeze
Jul6.5Light breeze11.8Gentle breeze
Aug6.1Light breeze11.5Significant breeze
Sep5.2Light breeze10.9Gentle breeze
Oct4.5Light breeze10.6Gentle breeze
Nov3.6Barely noticeable9.2Gentle breeze
Dec4.2Light breeze10.1Gentle breeze

Show Relative Humidity by Month

MonthAvg. Relative Humidity
Jan69.5%
Feb66.2%
Mar53.4%
Apr42.9%
May33.3%
Jun30%
Jul30.4%
Aug30.9%
Sep33.2%
Oct43.4%
Nov61.9%
Dec70.6%

 

Is it Safe to Travel to Merced?

Our best data indicates this area is generally safe. As of Oct 07, 2019 there are no travel advisories or warnings for the United States; exercise normal security precautions. Check this page for any recent changes or regions to avoid: Travel Advice and Advisories. This advisory was last updated on Sep 23, 2019.


 

The Busiest and Least Crowded Months

The busiest month for tourism in Merced, CA, US is July, followed by June and August. Prices for hotels and flights will be most expensive during these months, though you can save if you purchase well in advance. Tourists are unlikely to visit Merced in November. Those willing to visit at these times will likely find it the least expensive month.

Estimated Tourism by Month

 

Most Popular Months to Visit

Key
Tourists Seeking Accommodations

Tourism graph is based on Google searches for services used by tourists relative to the rest of the year. Tourism data for this area is somewhat extrapolated based on nearby areas. Displayed data is calculated relative to the peak, so a score of 44.8 in November means 44.8% of the tourists vs. July.

 

 

Overall Merced Travel Experience by Season

Spring (March through May)

Humidity and temperatures combine to make this season feel moderate. Highs range from 87.3°F (30.7°C) and 64.2°F (17.9°C) with warmer temperatures in the later months. Rain is rare with 1 to 3 days of significant precipitation per month. Spring is the second busiest for tourism, which makes it a good time for those looking for things to do.

Summer (June through August)

The middle-year months have very comfortable weather with high temperatures that are quite warm. These months see the least precipitation with 0 to 1 days of precipitation per month. June – August is the busiest season for tourism in Merced, so lodging and other accommodations may cost more than usual.

Fall (September through November)

Fall daily highs range from 95.7°F (35.4°C) and 61.5°F (16.4°C), which will feel very nice given the humidity and wind. It rains or snows a normal amount: 0 to 3 days per month. Tourism is the slowest during these months due to the weather, so hotels may be affordably priced.

Winter (December through February)

Weather is too cold this time of year in Merced to be enjoyable for warm weather travelers. The average high during this season is between 64.8°F (18.2°C) and 55°F (12.8°C). On average, it rains or snows a fair amount: 3 to 5 times per month. These times of year are fairly slow with tourists.

 

Best Times to Travelthe United States › Merced, CA, US