The best times to visit Merced for ideal weather are
March 12th to July 1st
September 3rd to November 11th
based on average temperature and humidity from NOAA (the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration). Read below for more weather and travel details.
Merced Travel Guide
Other Merced Travel Info
Weather in Merced
Average temperatures in Merced vary greatly. Considering humidity, temperatures feel very nice much of the year, but hot in the summer and cold in the winter with a very low chance of rain or snow throughout the year. The area is somewhat temperate — in the 47th percentile for pleasant weather — compared to tourist destinations worldwide. Weeks with ideal weather are listed above. If you’re looking for the very warmest time to visit Merced, the hottest months are July, August, and then June. See average monthly temperatures below. The warmest time of year is generally early July where highs are regularly around 98.9°F (37.2°C) with temperatures rarely dropping below 63.3°F (17.4°C) at night.
Merced Temperatures (Fahrenheit)
Merced Temperatures (Celsius)
The way we experience weather isn’t all about temperature. Higher temperatures affect us much more at higher humidity, and colder temperatures feel piercing with high winds. Our perceived temperatures factor in humidity and wind chill to better represent how hot or cold the day feels to a person.
Merced Perceived Temperature (F)
Merced Perceived Temperature (C)
Average Merced Temperatures by Month
Daily highs (averaged for the month) usually give the best indication of the weather. A significantly lower mean and low generally just means it gets colder at night.
|Month||Avg. High (°F)||Avg. Mean (°F)||Avg. Low (°F)|
|Month||Avg. High (°C)||Avg. Mean (°C)||Avg. Low (°C)|
Precipitation (Rain or Snow)
If dry weather is what you’re after, the months with the lowest chance of significant precipitation in Merced are July, August, and then September. Note that we define “significant precipitation” as .1 inches or more in this section. The lowest chance of rain or snow occurs around late May to early June. For example, on the week of May 28th there are no days of precipitation on average. By contrast, it’s most likely to rain or snow in mid December with an average of 2 days of significant precipitation the week of December 17th.
When can you find snow in Merced? Weather stations report no annual snow. Please note that a value of 0 for snow in the graph below may either mean there was no snow, or that snow is unreported.
Chance of Precipitation
The graph below shows the % chance of rainy and snowy days in Merced.
Snow on the Ground
The graph below shows the average snow on the ground in Merced (in).
Average Rain and Snow by Month
|Month||Daily Chance of Rain||Average Snow Depth (in)||Total Precipitation (in)|
|Month||Daily Chance of Rain||Average Snow Depth (cm)||Total Precipitation (cm)|
Humidity and Wind
Merced has some very humid months, and slightly dry months in the opposite season. The least humid month is June (30% relative humidity), and the most humid month is December (70.6%).
Wind in Merced is usually calm. The windiest month is May, followed by June and July. May’s average wind speed of around 6.9 knots (7.9 MPH or 12.7 KPH) is considered “a light breeze.” Maximum sustained winds (the highest speed for the day lasting more than a few moments) are at their highest in early to mid April where average top sustained speeds reach 14.2 knots, which is considered a moderate breeze.
Relative Humidity (%)
The graph below shows the average % humidity by month in Merced.
The graph below shows wind speed (max and average) in knots.
Average Wind Speeds
Show Wind Speeds
All wind speeds are in knots. 1 knot = 1.15 MPH or 1.85 KPH.
|Month||Avg. Wind||Avg. Wind Feel||Sustained High Wind||High Wind Feel|
|Jan||3.5||Barely noticeable||8.9||Gentle breeze|
|Feb||4.6||Light breeze||10.7||Gentle breeze|
|Mar||5.2||Light breeze||11.8||Gentle breeze|
|Apr||6.2||Light breeze||13||Significant breeze|
|May||6.9||Light breeze||13.3||Gentle breeze|
|Jun||6.8||Light breeze||13||Significant breeze|
|Jul||6.5||Light breeze||11.8||Gentle breeze|
|Aug||6.1||Light breeze||11.5||Significant breeze|
|Sep||5.2||Light breeze||10.9||Gentle breeze|
|Oct||4.5||Light breeze||10.6||Gentle breeze|
|Nov||3.6||Barely noticeable||9.2||Gentle breeze|
|Dec||4.2||Light breeze||10.1||Gentle breeze|
Show Relative Humidity by Month
|Month||Avg. Relative Humidity|
Is it Safe to Travel to Merced?
Our best data indicates this area is generally safe. As of Oct 07, 2019 there are no travel advisories or warnings for the United States; exercise normal security precautions. Check this page for any recent changes or regions to avoid: Travel Advice and Advisories. This advisory was last updated on Sep 23, 2019.
The Busiest and Least Crowded Months
The busiest month for tourism in Merced, CA, US is July, followed by June and August. Prices for hotels and flights will be most expensive during these months, though you can save if you purchase well in advance. Tourists are unlikely to visit Merced in November. Those willing to visit at these times will likely find it the least expensive month.
Estimated Tourism by Month
Most Popular Months to Visit
Overall Merced Travel Experience by Season
Spring (March through May)
Humidity and temperatures combine to make this season feel moderate. Highs range from 87.3°F (30.7°C) and 64.2°F (17.9°C) with warmer temperatures in the later months. Rain is rare with 1 to 3 days of significant precipitation per month. Spring is the second busiest for tourism, which makes it a good time for those looking for things to do.
Summer (June through August)
The middle-year months have very comfortable weather with high temperatures that are quite warm. These months see the least precipitation with 0 to 1 days of precipitation per month. June – August is the busiest season for tourism in Merced, so lodging and other accommodations may cost more than usual.
Fall (September through November)
Fall daily highs range from 95.7°F (35.4°C) and 61.5°F (16.4°C), which will feel very nice given the humidity and wind. It rains or snows a normal amount: 0 to 3 days per month. Tourism is the slowest during these months due to the weather, so hotels may be affordably priced.
Winter (December through February)
Weather is too cold this time of year in Merced to be enjoyable for warm weather travelers. The average high during this season is between 64.8°F (18.2°C) and 55°F (12.8°C). On average, it rains or snows a fair amount: 3 to 5 times per month. These times of year are fairly slow with tourists.